Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Thompson has excelled in recent months with a 50.94% success rate on second serve points, whereas Mannarino has managed 44.84%. Could this give Thompson an edge in service games?
• When it comes to returning serves, Mannarino leads with a 46.28% win rate on opponents' second serves compared to Thompson's 40.03%. Mannarino is slightly better on first serve returns as well, achieving 24.76% over Thompson's 23.33%.
• In managing pressure, Thompson saves 64.94% of breakpoints, while Mannarino saves 52.7%. This advantage might favor Thompson in tight situations.
• Looking at overall match performance in the past year, Thompson has won 52.94% of his matches, while Mannarino trails with 48.68%.
• Surface preferences show Thompson is strongest on indoor hard courts with a 65% win rate, while Mannarino excels on grass, boasting a 61% win rate.
• Thompson has competed largely in Masters series events, with a win rate of 53.85%, compared to Mannarino's 52% success in Challenger/ITF tournaments.
• Head-to-head history favors Mannarino, with six wins to Thompson's four in their ten encounters. Mannarino also leads in sets won, 13 to 9.
• Thompson has faced tougher competition, with an average opponent rank of 58.29, while Mannarino's opponents averaged a rank of 161.28, highlighting a difference in the level of competition faced recently.
• In deciding sets, Thompson has a winning edge with 55% success over the last year, compared to Mannarino's 46%.
• In terms of breakpoint conversion, Thompson executes 28.26% of his opportunities, slightly better than Mannarino's 25.81%, indicating a potential advantage in turning games around.

Editorial Prediction (August 27, 2025, UTC):

As we head into this tennis clash, the stats offer a clear glimpse of the potential dynamics on court. Thompson's superiority in second serve performance and under pressure breakpoint saves are notable strengths. These could prove decisive, especially against Mannarino's notable returning ability that has captured more opponent second serve points in recent months.

Their head-to-head record leans slightly towards Mannarino, who has triumphed in more matches and sets. However, Thompson's experiences against higher-ranked opponents and his overall better performance under pressure might counterbalance this historical dominance.

While Mannarino's prowess on grass doesn't directly translate to the current surface, Thompson's strong statistics on hard courts provide a unique advantage. Given the combination of these factors, and despite Mannarino's edge in past encounters, Thompson appears to have the upper hand for this match.

Based on recent forms, this preview suggests that Thompson is the likely winner in this upcoming encounter.